Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 5.582327 6.361065 7.218987 8.235865 9.410342 10.726680 12.317223
2025-06-08 4.408243 5.389328 6.555383 8.049204 9.920367 12.197373 15.194454
2025-06-15 3.911959 5.038720 6.455855 8.380955 10.946218 14.272299 18.952738
2025-06-22 3.472491 4.663724 6.231767 8.465786 11.597489 15.876622 22.243844
2025-06-29 3.089846 4.299261 5.953998 8.409559 12.005453 17.147612 25.182167
2025-07-06 2.769727 3.975285 5.681811 8.307236 12.304385 18.258435 27.981639
2025-07-13 2.606245 3.851673 5.672256 8.570910 13.151358 20.247588 32.342951
2025-07-20 2.447468 3.714729 5.622473 8.757175 13.883869 22.121558 36.736359
2025-07-27 2.340746 3.643765 5.660963 9.076968 14.851427 24.463057 42.193088
2025-08-03 2.136539 3.398847 5.400577 8.879847 14.932390 25.321675 45.153017
2025-08-10 1.973263 3.204443 5.201987 8.761474 15.126336 26.380562 48.587011
2025-08-17 1.831035 3.031864 5.022780 8.655310 15.323501 27.453744 52.165096
2025-08-24 1.691869 2.854959 4.824432 8.501968 15.429175 28.388891 55.639704
2025-08-31 1.561361 2.682270 4.618613 8.314669 15.450165 29.162835 58.889671
2025-09-07 1.525279 2.672272 4.697729 8.658984 16.518066 32.079926 66.987656
2025-09-14 1.454534 2.593649 4.645362 8.746946 17.088188 34.060572 73.340815
2025-09-21 1.370131 2.483039 4.524363 8.688693 17.353928 35.437948 78.532200
2025-09-28 1.287025 2.368377 4.386259 8.582676 17.507386 36.589406 83.356178
2025-10-05 1.256585 2.351427 4.433447 8.855880 18.490860 39.652236 93.163015
2025-10-12 1.218476 2.316469 4.442129 9.048892 19.318689 42.461036 102.766980
2025-10-19 1.197414 2.313337 4.513391 9.380299 20.488682 46.191386 115.285455
2025-10-26 1.122480 2.196491 4.344843 9.176015 20.413080 46.972556 120.187696
2025-11-02 1.061225 2.103328 4.218307 9.053347 20.515068 48.193225 126.460604